{ "updated": "2026-07-28", "description": "Seat-level first preferences and measured preference flows from the 2025 federal election — the baseline a multi-party seat projection is built on.", "election": { "year": 2025, "date": "2025-05-03", "eventId": 31496 }, "source": { "name": "Australian Electoral Commission", "publisher": "Australian Electoral Commission", "url": "https://results.aec.gov.au/31496/Website/Downloads/HouseDopByDivisionDownload-31496.csv", "tallyRoom": "https://results.aec.gov.au/31496/Website/Default.htm", "licence": "CC BY 4.0", "attribution": "© Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Electoral Commission) 2025", "retrieved": "2026-07-28" }, "measured": [ "First preference votes are the AEC's count-0 figures for each candidate, summed to the party abbreviation the AEC published. No party is merged or renamed in this dataset.", "Preference flows are counted from the distribution of preferences itself: at each count one candidate's pile is distributed and the others' gains are recorded. This is arithmetic over published figures, not an assumption about how people vote." ], "limitations": [ "The flows describe parties being EXCLUDED. In 2025 One Nation reached the final two in 2 of 150 seats, so nearly every One Nation preference here is a One Nation voter's ballot moving to someone else. How Labor or Coalition voters preference One Nation when One Nation is the candidate still standing is barely present in this data.", "Flows are national totals. Preferences differ by seat and by which candidates remain, and this dataset does not capture that variation.", "Party abbreviations are the AEC's and are not stable between elections. Deciding which abbreviations form a group — the Coalition, say — is a reading applied when the projection is built, not here.", "Independents all carry the abbreviation IND and are not distinguishable from one another. A seat won by a particular independent cannot be modelled from this dataset." ], "parties": { "ALP": { "name": "Australian Labor Party", "seatsContested": 150 }, "ON": { "name": "Pauline Hanson's One Nation", "seatsContested": 147 }, "GRN": { "name": "The Greens", "seatsContested": 112 }, "LP": { "name": "Liberal", "seatsContested": 106 }, "CYA": { "name": "Trumpet of Patriots", "seatsContested": 100 }, "FFPA": { "name": "Family First", "seatsContested": 92 }, "IND": { "name": "Independent", "seatsContested": 90 }, "LTP": { "name": "Libertarian", "seatsContested": 46 }, "HMP": { "name": "Legalise Cannabis Party", "seatsContested": 42 }, "GVIC": { "name": "The Greens", "seatsContested": 38 }, "LNP": { "name": "LNP", "seatsContested": 30 }, "NP": { "name": "National Party", "seatsContested": 19 }, "CEC": { "name": "Citizens Party", "seatsContested": 19 }, "GRPF": { "name": "Gerard Rennick People First", "seatsContested": 19 }, "AJP": { "name": "Animal Justice Party", "seatsContested": 18 }, "SOPA": { "name": "FUSION | Planet Rescue | Whistleblower Protection | Innovation", "seatsContested": 13 }, "AUC": { "name": "Australian Christians", "seatsContested": 10 }, "ASP": { "name": "Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party", "seatsContested": 8 }, "SAL": { "name": "Socialist Alliance", "seatsContested": 6 }, "VNS": { "name": "Victorian Socialists", "seatsContested": 4 }, "IMO": { "name": "HEART Party", "seatsContested": 4 }, "IAP": { "name": "Indigenous - Aboriginal Party of Australia", "seatsContested": 3 }, "KAP": { "name": "Katter's Australian Party (KAP)", "seatsContested": 3 }, "CLP": { "name": "NT CLP", "seatsContested": 2 }, "AUD": { "name": "Australian Democrats", "seatsContested": 1 }, "GAP": { "name": "The Great Australian Party", "seatsContested": 1 }, "XEN": { "name": "Centre Alliance", "seatsContested": 1 } }, "totals": { "divisions": 150, "exclusionsCounted": 826, "formalVotes": 15490236 }, "preferenceFlows": [ { "from": "ON", "totalVotes": 1485424, "to": { "LP": 498081, "ALP": 292854, "LNP": 262446, "NP": 146886, "IND": 112865, "GRN": 102229, "GVIC": 44626, "KAP": 10963, "CLP": 5474, "XEN": 3931, "VNS": 2307, "FFPA": 1070, "LTP": 956, "SAL": 736 } }, { "from": "GRN", "totalVotes": 1450455, "to": { "ALP": 1038815, "LP": 148844, "IND": 120082, "LNP": 54714, "ON": 43741, "NP": 23169, "XEN": 8419, "GRPF": 3631, "KAP": 2837, "CLP": 2447, "ASP": 1699, "HMP": 1616, "CYA": 441 } }, { "from": "IND", "totalVotes": 755725, "to": { "ALP": 315429, "LP": 137088, "IND": 66647, "GRN": 51587, "ON": 44963, "LNP": 43981, "GVIC": 32816, "NP": 30381, "FFPA": 9875, "CYA": 6131, "HMP": 4539, "CLP": 4344, "GRPF": 2707, "LTP": 1830, "ASP": 1323, "KAP": 468, "AUC": 343, "AJP": 301, "CEC": 279, "IMO": 223, "IAP": 123, "SAL": 122, "SOPA": 116, "VNS": 109 } }, { "from": "GVIC", "totalVotes": 543721, "to": { "ALP": 418916, "LP": 75129, "IND": 35506, "NP": 10388, "ON": 3782 } }, { "from": "LP", "totalVotes": 352400, "to": { "ALP": 174979, "IND": 84362, "XEN": 30460, "GRN": 26756, "GVIC": 24390, "NP": 11453 } }, { "from": "ALP", "totalVotes": 341779, "to": { "IND": 204778, "LP": 49049, "LNP": 31462, "GRN": 23407, "KAP": 15100, "ON": 9810, "NP": 8173 } }, { "from": "CYA", "totalVotes": 329659, "to": { "ON": 151087, "ALP": 35813, "LP": 31458, "GRN": 23096, "IND": 21859, "LNP": 18892, "FFPA": 13982, "GRPF": 7901, "HMP": 7571, "NP": 6947, "GVIC": 3966, "KAP": 2278, "LTP": 1533, "ASP": 1524, "AUC": 859, "XEN": 519, "IAP": 195, "CEC": 94, "SOPA": 85 } }, { "from": "FFPA", "totalVotes": 321384, "to": { "ON": 109948, "LP": 42337, "ALP": 41661, "GRN": 29759, "IND": 18665, "LNP": 17847, "GVIC": 16162, "CYA": 15538, "GRPF": 8875, "NP": 6830, "HMP": 6344, "ASP": 2050, "LTP": 2007, "KAP": 1335, "VNS": 979, "XEN": 449, "CEC": 281, "IAP": 270, "SOPA": 47 } }, { "from": "HMP", "totalVotes": 220161, "to": { "ON": 50815, "ALP": 50290, "GRN": 41499, "LP": 21858, "GVIC": 20338, "IND": 18111, "NP": 8779, "LNP": 2475, "FFPA": 2406, "VNS": 1032, "KAP": 910, "SAL": 701, "GRPF": 429, "CYA": 286, "AUC": 232 } }, { "from": "NP", "totalVotes": 109676, "to": { "LP": 62422, "ALP": 22624, "ON": 22147, "IND": 1193, "FFPA": 476, "HMP": 403, "GRN": 367, "CYA": 44 } }, { "from": "GRPF", "totalVotes": 98415, "to": { "ON": 55945, "LNP": 13935, "ALP": 9082, "GRN": 5371, "FFPA": 3712, "HMP": 2621, "IND": 2159, "CYA": 1873, "KAP": 1603, "NP": 746, "LP": 648, "GVIC": 489, "ASP": 118, "VNS": 113 } }, { "from": "LTP", "totalVotes": 90878, "to": { "ON": 30130, "LP": 10758, "IND": 10147, "ALP": 8250, "FFPA": 8169, "NP": 6280, "GRN": 4339, "CYA": 4218, "HMP": 2397, "ASP": 1615, "GVIC": 1513, "GRPF": 1406, "LNP": 1198, "AJP": 162, "KAP": 141, "SOPA": 75, "SAL": 45, "VNS": 35 } }, { "from": "AJP", "totalVotes": 37580, "to": { "GRN": 10694, "ALP": 6407, "FFPA": 4312, "ON": 3764, "HMP": 3207, "LP": 2150, "GVIC": 1977, "CYA": 1836, "IND": 1756, "GRPF": 811, "LNP": 435, "NP": 107, "ASP": 99, "LTP": 25 } }, { "from": "ASP", "totalVotes": 36446, "to": { "ON": 15339, "ALP": 6438, "NP": 4790, "IND": 3207, "LP": 2181, "GRN": 1703, "HMP": 1063, "CYA": 722, "FFPA": 631, "AJP": 372 } }, { "from": "LNP", "totalVotes": 34115, "to": { "ALP": 27110, "GRN": 7005 } }, { "from": "AUC", "totalVotes": 33181, "to": { "ON": 13197, "LP": 9445, "ALP": 4455, "GRN": 2265, "HMP": 1854, "NP": 1002, "IND": 963 } }, { "from": "VNS", "totalVotes": 28227, "to": { "GVIC": 19896, "ALP": 4340, "LP": 2250, "CYA": 670, "ON": 627, "HMP": 310, "FFPA": 74, "NP": 60 } }, { "from": "KAP", "totalVotes": 23522, "to": { "LNP": 11416, "ALP": 6274, "ON": 5108, "GRN": 724 } }, { "from": "CEC", "totalVotes": 21424, "to": { "ALP": 3806, "ON": 3697, "IND": 3659, "GVIC": 1612, "FFPA": 1581, "GRN": 1527, "LP": 1192, "NP": 969, "CYA": 774, "HMP": 558, "LTP": 529, "AJP": 361, "ASP": 321, "GRPF": 254, "IAP": 207, "CLP": 172, "SAL": 106, "LNP": 99 } }, { "from": "SAL", "totalVotes": 20606, "to": { "GVIC": 9799, "GRN": 4397, "ALP": 3292, "LP": 1097, "IND": 829, "ON": 806, "CYA": 151, "FFPA": 149, "GRPF": 60, "LNP": 26 } }, { "from": "SOPA", "totalVotes": 14781, "to": { "GRN": 3334, "ALP": 2719, "GVIC": 1743, "IND": 1125, "ON": 1084, "FFPA": 949, "AJP": 884, "LP": 848, "HMP": 740, "GRPF": 449, "CYA": 332, "SAL": 243, "LTP": 176, "LNP": 147, "NP": 8 } }, { "from": "IAP", "totalVotes": 7101, "to": { "ALP": 2094, "GRN": 1899, "ON": 742, "ASP": 676, "NP": 562, "HMP": 382, "LTP": 265, "LP": 203, "CLP": 163, "AUC": 115 } }, { "from": "IMO", "totalVotes": 5361, "to": { "IND": 1489, "ON": 1146, "LP": 742, "CYA": 527, "GRN": 425, "ALP": 390, "FFPA": 317, "AJP": 188, "SOPA": 84, "ASP": 53 } }, { "from": "GAP", "totalVotes": 1509, "to": { "ON": 608, "AUC": 267, "HMP": 221, "ALP": 170, "GRN": 137, "LP": 106 } }, { "from": "AUD", "totalVotes": 688, "to": { "GRN": 178, "ALP": 128, "IND": 106, "LTP": 83, "ON": 81, "LP": 72, "CYA": 40 } } ], "seats": [ { "name": "Adelaide", "state": "SA", "divisionId": 179, "formalVotes": 114089, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "AJP": 2745, "ALP": 53036, "CYA": 3144, "GRN": 21642, "SOPA": 1367, "ON": 4584, "LP": 27571 } }, { "name": "Aston", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 197, "formalVotes": 109849, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LP": 41382, "ALP": 40926, "FFPA": 3006, "IND": 4543, "LTP": 1059, "GVIC": 12669, "ON": 3738, "CYA": 2526 } }, { "name": "Ballarat", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 198, "formalVotes": 104540, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LP": 29883, "GVIC": 14984, "ON": 8029, "ALP": 44273, "IND": 2934, "LTP": 1380, "FFPA": 3057 } }, { "name": "Banks", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 103, "formalVotes": 98935, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "CYA": 3430, "ON": 3666, "AUD": 688, "LTP": 2678, "GRN": 11756, "ALP": 36039, "LP": 38683, "IND": 1995 } }, { "name": "Barker", "state": "SA", "divisionId": 180, "formalVotes": 108714, "wonBy": "LP", "votes": { "LP": 52460, "IND": 6370, "NP": 1893, "ALP": 24453, "ON": 8908, "FFPA": 2781, "CYA": 2983, "GRN": 8866 } }, { "name": "Barton", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 104, "formalVotes": 99951, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LTP": 3419, "ON": 5573, "ALP": 47098, "LP": 24162, "GRN": 15885, "CYA": 3814 } }, { "name": "Bass", "state": "TAS", "divisionId": 192, "formalVotes": 71594, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ALP": 28375, "CEC": 701, "LP": 22511, "ON": 4639, "GRN": 9229, "IND": 3852, "CYA": 2287 } }, { "name": "Bean", "state": "ACT", "divisionId": 318, "formalVotes": 102700, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LP": 23665, "IND": 27120, "GRN": 9757, "ALP": 42158 } }, { "name": "Bendigo", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 200, "formalVotes": 106617, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "FFPA": 3153, "GVIC": 12079, "ON": 5262, "ALP": 35771, "NP": 31707, "LTP": 974, "VNS": 1708, "IND": 1121, "HMP": 3666, "LP": 11176 } }, { "name": "Bennelong", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 105, "formalVotes": 109812, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LP": 38510, "IMO": 806, "CYA": 1621, "ALP": 49801, "GRN": 12931, "FFPA": 1934, "ON": 2534, "SOPA": 1675 } }, { "name": "Berowra", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 106, "formalVotes": 115568, "wonBy": "LP", "votes": { "GRN": 13781, "ON": 4705, "ALP": 31220, "IND": 14371, "SOPA": 1082, "CYA": 2199, "LP": 48210 } }, { "name": "Blair", "state": "QLD", "divisionId": 304, "formalVotes": 116953, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LNP": 31797, "LTP": 1132, "GRPF": 4421, "AJP": 1874, "CYA": 3769, "ALP": 42825, "FFPA": 2334, "GRN": 12104, "HMP": 5353, "ON": 11344 } }, { "name": "Blaxland", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 107, "formalVotes": 86886, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LP": 17023, "ALP": 40001, "ON": 3086, "GRN": 6854, "LTP": 1894, "FFPA": 1726, "IND": 16302 } }, { "name": "Bonner", "state": "QLD", "divisionId": 310, "formalVotes": 99106, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "FFPA": 2811, "LTP": 1203, "LNP": 35156, "HMP": 2497, "GRN": 12314, "CYA": 2187, "ON": 3784, "ALP": 39154 } }, { "name": "Boothby", "state": "SA", "divisionId": 182, "formalVotes": 117339, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "CYA": 3250, "FFPA": 2351, "ON": 3560, "ALP": 50015, "GRN": 20046, "LP": 38117 } }, { "name": "Bowman", "state": "QLD", "divisionId": 155, "formalVotes": 107987, "wonBy": "LNP", "votes": { "ALP": 34247, "FFPA": 3325, "IND": 3375, "ON": 7650, "CYA": 3924, "LNP": 42777, "GRN": 12689 } }, { "name": "Braddon", "state": "TAS", "divisionId": 193, "formalVotes": 74840, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "CYA": 3360, "GRN": 6318, "ON": 5709, "ALP": 29579, "IND": 6174, "LP": 23700 } }, { "name": "Bradfield", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 108, "formalVotes": 112202, "wonBy": "IND", "votes": { "LTP": 1376, "GRN": 7551, "IND": 34944, "ALP": 22768, "ON": 1725, "LP": 42676, "CYA": 1162 } }, { "name": "Brand", "state": "WA", "divisionId": 235, "formalVotes": 93793, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "GRN": 12412, "ON": 11960, "ALP": 43014, "HMP": 7935, "LP": 18472 } }, { "name": "Brisbane", "state": "QLD", "divisionId": 156, "formalVotes": 110745, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ON": 2798, "ALP": 35607, "FFPA": 879, "GRN": 28663, "LNP": 37951, "CYA": 1398, "GRPF": 2354, "SOPA": 1095 } }, { "name": "Bruce", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 201, "formalVotes": 109494, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ON": 8931, "GVIC": 13213, "ALP": 49610, "LTP": 1289, "LP": 25162, "CYA": 3530, "HMP": 3563, "FFPA": 4196 } }, { "name": "Bullwinkel", "state": "WA", "divisionId": 329, "formalVotes": 104664, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ON": 9011, "AUC": 3287, "HMP": 5262, "LP": 25433, "ALP": 33436, "NP": 16507, "GRN": 11728 } }, { "name": "Burt", "state": "WA", "divisionId": 317, "formalVotes": 98691, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ON": 9789, "LP": 18879, "GRN": 11336, "ALP": 46123, "HMP": 5784, "AUC": 4630, "IND": 2150 } }, { "name": "Calare", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 109, "formalVotes": 106267, "wonBy": "IND", "votes": { "ON": 8200, "HMP": 4162, "IND": 41928, "CYA": 1583, "GRN": 3753, "FFPA": 1733, "ASP": 2245, "ALP": 11086, "NP": 31577 } }, { "name": "Calwell", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 203, "formalVotes": 89831, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "IND": 27506, "FFPA": 2308, "HMP": 2843, "ON": 3375, "GVIC": 7439, "CYA": 2211, "ALP": 27423, "CEC": 2624, "LP": 14102 } }, { "name": "Canberra", "state": "ACT", "divisionId": 101, "formalVotes": 93405, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "GRN": 18504, "IMO": 1222, "IND": 10187, "LP": 17101, "ALP": 45133, "AJP": 1258 } }, { "name": "Canning", "state": "WA", "divisionId": 236, "formalVotes": 100647, "wonBy": "LP", "votes": { "LP": 42794, "ON": 11488, "GRN": 8967, "CEC": 1084, "HMP": 6216, "ALP": 30098 } }, { "name": "Capricornia", "state": "QLD", "divisionId": 157, "formalVotes": 98658, "wonBy": "LNP", "votes": { "ALP": 31483, "CYA": 5999, "ON": 15355, "FFPA": 3646, "LNP": 36074, "GRN": 6101 } }, { "name": "Casey", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 204, "formalVotes": 110563, "wonBy": "LP", "votes": { "CYA": 3716, "ON": 5603, "AJP": 2379, "FFPA": 3154, "GVIC": 12107, "ALP": 26820, "IND": 11590, "LP": 45194 } }, { "name": "Chifley", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 111, "formalVotes": 89414, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "FFPA": 5336, "IND": 1519, "GRN": 8724, "ALP": 47078, "LP": 17613, "ON": 5338, "CYA": 2237, "AJP": 1569 } }, { "name": "Chisholm", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 205, "formalVotes": 112696, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "GVIC": 14086, "FFPA": 2419, "ON": 2156, "LP": 41966, "CYA": 1729, "ALP": 43655, "IND": 6685 } }, { "name": "Clark", "state": "TAS", "divisionId": 319, "formalVotes": 67531, "wonBy": "IND", "votes": { "IND": 33011, "GRN": 8908, "LP": 9239, "ALP": 13539, "ON": 2834 } }, { "name": "Cook", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 112, "formalVotes": 106364, "wonBy": "LP", "votes": { "FFPA": 3310, "LP": 51121, "CYA": 3246, "ALP": 33474, "GRN": 10575, "ON": 4638 } }, { "name": "Cooper", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 320, "formalVotes": 107586, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ON": 5684, "ALP": 45151, "GVIC": 27123, "LP": 16280, "VNS": 9012, "HMP": 4336 } }, { "name": "Corangamite", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 328, "formalVotes": 104020, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "IND": 4565, "CYA": 2452, "LTP": 1272, "GVIC": 14925, "ON": 3343, "ALP": 38814, "HMP": 3161, "LP": 35488 } }, { "name": "Corio", "state": "VIC", "divisionId": 208, "formalVotes": 110227, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ON": 10953, "SAL": 3209, "IND": 3930, "GVIC": 17491, "LP": 27423, "ALP": 47221 } }, { "name": "Cowan", "state": "WA", "divisionId": 237, "formalVotes": 96141, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "LP": 23233, "CYA": 2311, "HMP": 4103, "GRN": 10367, "ON": 4869, "IND": 3417, "AUC": 3015, "ALP": 44826 } }, { "name": "Cowper", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 113, "formalVotes": 107735, "wonBy": "NP", "votes": { "ALP": 12713, "IND": 32508, "HMP": 5210, "CYA": 1551, "NP": 40836, "LTP": 1403, "FFPA": 1851, "GRN": 4552, "SOPA": 255, "ON": 6856 } }, { "name": "Cunningham", "state": "NSW", "divisionId": 114, "formalVotes": 115474, "wonBy": "ALP", "votes": { "ALP": 51607, "CEC": 1657, "LP": 26813, "ON": 8765, "AJP": 3048, "GRN": 23584 } }, { "name": "Curtin", "state": "WA", "divisionId": 238, "formalVotes": 105348, "wonBy": "IND", "votes": { "LP": 42436, "GRN": 8235, "IND": 33952, "ON": 2731, "HMP": 2368, 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